| Abstract | The emissions of greenhouse gasses in Egypt are about 0.58% of the total emissions of the world
in the year 2015, although Egypt is one of the countries most affected by the impacts of climate
change. By assessment and analysis of the expected economic impacts of climate change by the
year 2030, the Egyptian cultivated area will be reduced to about 0.949 million acres, equal to
about 8.22% of the Egyptian cultivated area compared with the case of no sinking part of the Delta
land, thus reducing crop area in Egypt to about 1.406 million acres, approximately to about 6.25%
of crop area compared with the case of no sinking part of the Delta land, in addition to surplus in
the Egyptian balance water to about 2.48 billion m3. In this case value of the Egyptian agriculture
production will decrease by about 6.19 billion dollars, equal to about 6.19% compared with pre-
sumably no sinking of the Delta land. In the case of sinking 15% of Delta lands, with the change of
the productivity and water consumption of most crops, the result will be a reduction in the culti-
vated area to about 0.94 million acres. In addition to decreasing the Egyptian crop area to about
1.39 million acres, with a deficit in the Egyptian balance water to about 4.74 billion m3 compared
to the case of no sinking part of the Delta land, the cultivated area will decrease to about 8.17%,
and the crop area will decrease 6.18%. Also, the value of the Egyptian agriculture production will
decrease by about 12.51%. While compared to sinking part of the Delta land to about 15% of the
total Delta area without the other impacts of climate change, the cultivated area will increase by
about 0.06%; the crop area will increase by about 0.08%; also, the value of the Egyptian agricul-
ture production will decrease by about 5.57%.
|